Summary
Israel
Netanyahu says Israel is ready to fight on 7 different war fronts.
Not even about Oct 7 anymore. Doesn’t rule out that Israel allowed Oct 7 events to happen to use as an excuse to start and expand a long held strategic plan to rid the area of Greater Israel of Arab peoples.
Gaza is not defeated. Hamas is surviving. Israel is suffering serious casualties, possibly more than 5000 KIA.
IDF has publicly stated that they cannot beat Hamas, yet Israel is picking a new fight with a much more powerful foe in Hezbollah.
Netanyahu is banking on the power and ability of the Israeli lobby to drag the United States into this conflict.
An Israeli attack on southern Lebanon against Hezbollah is likely. US assets are being moved into the area and will likely be involved in the hostilities.
Russia has interests in Syria, and in Iran and could get involved to prevent Iran from being taken out. China – a major energy importer – has an interest in keeping the Straight of Hormuz open, so they might get involved, too.
Ukraine Russia US NATO
Russia steadily preparing for a major offensive. River crossing assets being readied.
Behind the ‘façade’, NATO is crumbling. The elections in Europe provide evidence that it is crumbling even faster. Their economies are bad, and no one wants to fight a major war against Russia.
The world is changing. The US isn’t as powerful as it once was.
Russia has thrived under sanctions while the US and especially the EU has suffered.
The CIA and MI6 are the one’s running things in Ukraine. They are trying to postpone a catastrophic, Afghanistan-like collapse of Ukraine until after the elections.
Victor Orban, the president of Hungary – an EU member state – is staunchly against an EU war against Russia over Ukraine. This is why western media attacks Orban and calls him a dictator. Orban urged the US, EU and Ukraine to accept and enforce the Minsk Agreements and has consistently resisted US NATO EU measures to escalate the conflict.
Orban also knows the EU is unprepared and unready for a real war. He knows the real state of EU forces. US forces aren’t ready to take on Russia either.
If Houthis can strike targets with modest, last-generation missiles and drones, then what could Iran do? What could Hezbollah do? Or, even the Turks, or others like Egypt, that have modern missiles and drones, should the war spread and they involved?
The United States does NOT have the capacity to deal with a major regional alignment attack against Israel. If regional countries aligned and attacked Israel, the US wouldn’t be able to stop it.
China Taiwan
Nixon opened the door to China to undermine relations and a would-be alliance with the Soviets. Taiwan was the sacrifice.
The dominating political party in Taiwan WANTS a peaceful reunification with China.
Russia and China realize they have several things in common. Russia has all the resources China needs. China imports MOST of its resources. It doesn’t have enough cultivating land to support 1.5 billion people, so it imports food, too. Â
China can replace goods that were cut off from Russia due to the US EU sanctions.
Both Russia and China are sensitive to what happens in Southeast Asia. If trade is not ‘calm’ in these areas, how can goods flow?
America doesn’t even have refiners to process rare earth minerals. If the US mines it at all, it has to ship it to China to be processed, and then sent back to the US at higher costs.